UFC 107 ‘Penn vs Sanchez’ Preview, Picks & Betting Odds

UFC 107 will take place tomorrow, December 12, at the FedExForum in Memphis, Tennessee and will air live on pay-per-view at 10PM ET/7PM PT. The weigh-ins will be held this afternoon at 4PM ET/3PM CT at the FedExForum, and will stream live on UFC.com.

If you’re the gambling type, we recommend visiting BetUS. BetUS is currently offering a $75 bonus for depositing $200.

Odds below are from BetUS and are subject to change. Feel free to check out the live lines on our UFC Betting Odds page for the most up-to-date betting odds.

The Fights

Minus (-) = favorite | Plus (+) = underdog

With a line of -150 & +150, you would have to wager $150 to win $100 if you’re picking the favorite. You would win $150 for every $100 if you bet on the underdog assuming he won.

Good luck!

Preview and picks after the jump.

Images via CombatLifestyle.com

BJ Penn (-300) vs Diego Sanchez (+220)

BJ Penn & Diego Sanchez at the UFC 107 Pre-Fight Press ConferenceBJ Penn goes for his third straight UFC lightweight title defense this weekend against Diego Sanchez. With a failed attempt at snatching away the UFC welterweight title from GSP wedged in between, Penn is coming off wins against Sean Sherk and Kenny Florian. Both fighters offered their own unique challenges for Penn, and Sanchez won’t be any different.

Diego Sanchez is balls to the wall for five straight minutes each and every round. He’ll look to wear Penn out swarming him with strikes and relentless takedown attempts. Whether he’ll be able to is the question. Penn’s strength & conditioning training with the infamous Marv Marinovich paid off in spades against Kenny Florian. Penn was in the best shape of his life and he’s brought back Marv for this one. If Diego is expecting Penn will gas in the later rounds, he’s probably going to be looking for plan B.

On paper, BJ Penn shouldn’t have too much trouble winning this fight. His boxing and jiu-jitsu are superior to Sanchez’s and his takedown defense is typically stellar when he’s not facing George St. Pierre. Sanchez is dangerous, so I wouldn’t completely count him out, but he’ll definitely be fighting an uphill battle in Memphis.

Penn by Decision

Frank Mir (-210) vs Cheick Kongo (+165)

Frank Mir & Cheick Kongo at the UFC 107 Pre-Fight Press ConferenceFrank Mir is playing a dangerous game with Cheick Kongo. In the past few months when Mir hasn’t been talking about Brock Lesnar, he’s been trashing Cheick Kongo’s ground game. Mir’s arrogance hasn’t sat well with Kongo, and at the UFC 107 pre-fight press conference, he let everyone know just how personally he’s taken Mir’s attacks.

“He’s a former UFC champion heavyweight. He did a good job. I respect that,” Kongo said. “But as a person? No. I don’t let anyone judge me like a piece of s***. And he did.”

Oftentimes, when there’s heat between two fighters, it’s more or less fabricated to hype and sell the fight. At least to Cheick Kongo, I don’t believe that to be the case here at all. He’s genuinely pissed and he’ll be looking to take Frank Mir’s head off.

Whether that will happen or not though really depends on Mir. If he thinks his striking is on par with Kongo’s and attempts to prove it, he could be in for a rude awakening.  I like to think Mir is smart enough to avoid the only place he can lose this fight, but I wouldn’t be surprised if he gives it a shot at least right up until the point Kongo tags him and he realizes he needs to get the fight to ground where he has a high probability of winning.

Mir by Submission

Kenny Florian (-210) vs Clay Guida (+165)

Kenny Florian jumps back on the horse this weekend after his disappointing loss to BJ Penn at UFC 101. He has a tough challenge in front of him in Clay Guida, but I think it’s a test he’ll pass with flying colors. Don’t forget before the Penn fight, Florian was destroying people. He’s split with longtime trainer Mark Dellagrotte to train in Montreal with Firas Zihabi, GSP and increased his strength, size and endurance with Jon Chaimberg. I think Kenny is going to bounce back strong and prove this weekend he’s still one of the top three lightweights in the UFC.

Florian by Submission

Jon Fitch (-400) vs Mike Pierce (+300)

What was supposed to be Fitch vs. Alves 2 turned into Jon Fitch against Mike Pierce after Alves pulled out with a knee injury. Pierce comes in with a win over Brock Larson at UFC Fight Night 19 and a collegiate wrestling background. Unfortunately for him, Jon Fitch is one of the baddest SOB’s in the welterweight division and also has high level wrestling, so Pierce probably isn’t going to have much luck with his bread & butter. Fitch is the more seasoned and well-rounded fighter and shouldn’t have too much trouble picking up another win in Memphis.

Fitch by TKO

Stefan Struve (-125) vs Paul Buentello (-105)

Paul Buentello returns to the UFC for the first in years against hot heavyweight prospect Stefan Struve. It was a little concerning to hear Buentello was shunned by his longtime training camp, AKA, but from all accounts it appears Buentello has gotten himself into serious shape for this fight. Buentello will have the edge on the feet against Struve, but he has to keep it there. It’s been a long time since Buentello was submitted, but it could definitely happen Saturday night against Struve who has proved to be a serious threat on the ground. I think Struve’s ridiculous height and reach advantage will present Buentello with a problem he won’t be able to solve.

Struve by Submission

Preliminary Fights

Wilson Gouveia (-125) vs. Alan Belcher (-105) – Gouveia by Decision

Matt Wiman (-350) vs. Shane Nelson (+250) – Wiman by TKO

Johny Hendricks (-450) vs. Ricardo Funch (+325) – Hendricks by Decision

Rousimar Palhares (-350) vs. Lucio Linhares (+250) – Palhares by Submission

Edgar Garcia (-280) vs. DaMarques Johnson (+210) – Johnson by Decision

T.J. Grant (-135) vs. Kevin Burns (+105) – Burns by TKO

Read more about: BJ Penn, Cheick Kongo, Clay Guida, Diego Sanchez, Frank Mir, Jon Fitch, Kenny Florian, Paul Buentello, Stefan Struve, UFC 107

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