Been away on a sort of vacation for the last week, but I had enough time to throw together my picks for tonight’s UFC on FOX 3 card. The preliminary card goes down at 4pm ET on Facebook, and 5pm ET on FX.
–Karlos Vemola vs. Mike Massenzio
Opening the night’s precedings is this awkward middleweight bout between two good, but perhaps not quite UFC calibre fighters. Massenzio has never backed away from a tough fight, and his heart and determination is impressive. I mean, who steps in as a late replacement against Palhares in Brazil? His opponent, Karlos Vemola, beat Seth Petruzelli into the mat, but he didn’t fare so well afterwards. Vemola should win this fight, by all means, but the fact that he’s making a big weight cut, and has as much gas in his tank as a hoverround, I have to pick Massenzio.
–Roland Delorme vs. Nick Denis
I love Nick Denis. Not only is he from my hometown, he also has the best nickname ever, and is a bad, bad man. Delorme, aka the Ferguson Family killer, made his way to the UFC after beating Josh Ferguson at the TUF 14 finale. This fight to me ends one way, with violence. Nick Denis will win, and he’ll do it impressively.
–Pablo Garza vs. Dennis Bermudez
Pablo Garza was on the rise before he ran into the wrecking ball known as Dustin Poirier. With innovative striking and really fantastic submission skills, “The Scarecrow” is likely here to stay in the UFC. His opponent, Dennis Bermudez, ran into a wrecking ball of his own, named Diego Brandao. Bermudez looks for his first official win at featherweight. Despite losing three straight, I like Bermudez here. Garza hasn’t impressed me nearly as much as he has others, and the holes in his game are glaringly obvious, and Bermudez is the kind of fighter who will exploit them.
–John Cholish vs. Danny Castillo
Team Alpha Male standout Danny Castillo returns to the octagon after narrowly defeating Anthony Njokuani. Castillo is an incredibly persistant wrestler, and he’s more than capable of being a headache for anyone. John Cholish is a Renzo Gracie trained grappler. A solid finisher, Cholish has a shot at actually making an impact in the division. Having said that, I have a hard time seeing him win this. While his submission skills will likely keep Castillo guessing, “Last Call” has some stiffling wrestling, and will likely win another decision that will draw the ire of the crowd.
–Louis Gaudinot vs. John Lineker
This could very well be the best fight of the night. Despite his piss poor showing against Johnny Bedford, Louis Gaudinot is still a solid flyweight, who returns to his natural weight class for his second UFC fight. His opponent is a violent, violent man. John Lineker always leaves it all in the cage, and is on a 13 fight win streak right now. I really am a big fan of Gaudinot, but he has to bring his A game, and even then, he’s likely getting finished in a brutal fashion.
–Pascal Krauss vs. John Hathaway
I’m not a big fan of this fight, so I won’t spend much time talking about it. John Hathaway is a solid wrestler, but the more I see of him, the less I am impressed. It’s starting to look like his win over Diego Sanchez was a fluke. Krauss is undefeated, and actually looks more improved every time he steps into the cage. While his gas tank in the later parts of the fight might be questionable, I think he flattens Hathaway.
–John Dodson vs. Timothy Elliott
As a bantamweight, John Dodson was a killer, moving back to flyweight, he should be a beast. Tim Elliott is a good fighter, but he’s facing John Dodson. Technique, power, aggression, all of these things are on Dodson’s side. Dodson beats Elliott handily, and don’t be surprised if he’s fighting for the flyweight title in early 2013.
–Michael Johnson vs. Tony Ferguson
The Blackzilians are not doing so great. With all their recent losses, perhaps Michael Johnson is their last hope? He’s a solid wrestler, who looks improved every time he steps into the cage. I didn’t expect him to beat Shane Roller, but he did. I don’t expect him to beat Tony Ferguson though, and he won’t. Tony is just too good.