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UFC 163 Fight Card: Smart Bets

UFC 163 Fight Card: Smart Bets

It’ll be a big night for Brazilian MMA fans around the globe as UFC 163: Aldo vs. Korean Zombie plants its feet in Rio De Janeiro, Brazil. Set to defend his undisputed featherweight title is the explosive striker Jose Aldo, he’ll be defending it against the record-setting Korean, Chan Sung Jung. This could be the first time in UFC history that an Asian fighter takes the gold, so it could be a very historical moment. Also on the card is a plethora of up and coming Brazilian scrappers looking to steal the spotlight, so the desire for excitement could be through the roof. Before we jump in to the card and break the match-ups down, let’s first take a look at the betting odds for UFC 163, and look at some smart bets to make.

Betting Odds (According to fantasy MMA Betting website MMAPlayground) 

Chan Sung Jung +560

Jose Aldo -620


Phil Davis +360

Lyoto Machida -400


Thiago Santos +140

Cezar Ferreira -150


Thales Leites -110

Tom Watson -120


Jose Maria Tome +160

John Lineker -170


Anthony Perosh +600

Vinny Magalhaes -640


Amanda Nunes -120

Sheila Gaff -120


Sergio Moraes -100

Neil Magny -125


Iliarde Santos +640

Ian McCall -680


Josh Clopton +680

Rani Yahya -750


Viscardi Andrade -105

Bristol Marunde -120


Francimar Barroso +360

Edinaldo Oliveira -400 


Smart Bets: 

Francimar Barroso over Edinaldo Oliveira at +360 

Set to start the night off in the prelims is an exciting light-heavyweight bout between two Brazillians who are known for finishing their opponents in brutal fashion. While Oliveira was shutdown in his UFC debut against Gabriel Gonzaga, he is still a very dangerous opponent who has lots of KO’s on his resume – also, keep in mind that Oliveira fought at heavyweight for that bout whereas this will be at 205 lbs. However, after taking one look at Francimar Barroso, I don’t see a way that Barraso can’t win this fight. Barraso has lots of knock out power in his punches and kicks, and also has very solid grappling skills. While I think this will be a very competitive fight between two Brazilians with a lot of potential, you can’t hide the fact that Barroso being a +360 underdog isn’t a golden opportunity. 

Neil Magny over Sergio Moraes at -120 

No, this isn’t a pick that is going to reel in the dough, but it is a very smart pick that I would label as a “sure-lock”. Sergio Moraes has a sick ground game, no question about it, but Neil Magny does as well. While Magny may not have the grappling credentials that Moraes does, he makes up for it by being the bigger, stronger, and more athletic competitor. Also, Magny has a more diverse stand up approach with a good amount of power. That makes Magny a more dangerous opponent in all categories of the fight game, and which is why I see no way for Sergio Moraes to win this fight. Magny at -120 are very generous odds considering the dimensions. 

Caution Pick: 

Jose Tome over John Lineker at +160 

Jose Tome may very well be Brazil’s best kept secret. With a record of 33-3, Tome knows how to smash opponents like it’s nobody’s business. Tome has built his career off of defeating unknown flyweights and bantamweights in Brazil, and will now be heading to the big shows to take on some legit competition. While Tome’s record is ultra-impressive (especially considering he’s only gone the distance 3 times), his opponent also has a solid resume. John Lineker has way more UFC experience and has actually fought guys with winning records. Don’t be fooled by the win/loss ratio, Jose Tome has never fought anybody near the level of John Lineker.

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