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UFC 166 Results: The Smart Bets

UFC 166 Results: The Smart Bets

This Saturday will feature one of the greatest rubber matches of all time as Junior dos Santos prepares to take the belt back from Cain Velasquez who he initially stole it from. They’re 1-1 against each other and UFC 166 will finally give us the answer of who is really the number one heavyweight in the UFC. Several other amazing fighters are on the card including the return of Gilbert Melendez, Hector Lombard’s welterweight debut, and another heavyweight showdown that contains an ounce of bad blood. Let’s take a look at the betting lines and see what kind of odds will be going down.

Betting Odds (From fantasy MMA betting site MMAPlayground)

Junior dos Santos +195

Cain Velasquez -220


Roy Nelson +360

Daniel Cormier -410


Diego Sanchez +560

Gilbert Melendez -600


Shawn Jordan -115

Gabriel Gonzaga -120


Darrell Montague +640

John Dodson -680


Nate Marquardt +185

Hector Lombard -200


Jessica Eye +290

Sarah Kaufman -330


George Sotiropolous +105

KJ Noons -115


Anthony Waldburger -105

Adlan Amagov -125


Mike Rio +400

Tony Ferguson -600


Kyoji Horiguchi -105

Dustin Pague -125


CB Dolloway +360

Tim Boetsch -400


Jeremy Larsen +205

Andre Fili -230


Smart Bets: 

Dustin Pague over Kyoji Horiguchi at -105

Even though Dustin Pague is 0-3 in the UFC and will undoubtedly be cut from the roster if he loses this fight, he’s a lot more skilled than his record. The last three losses have all been by decision, and two of those being very close split decisions. Pague is a grappler who is dangerous on the ground, but has a never-say-die attitude that can sometimes get him in trouble. Against a powerful Japanese striker like Kyoji, Pague will need to fight cautiously and get the fight where he is comfortable. If he can do that, he has this fight in the bag no problem. Both Pague and Horiguchi are fairly even in odds, even though Pague is the more experienced guy fighting in the UFC which should aid him drastically in this fight.

CB Dolloway over Tim Boetsch at +360

These odds truly astound me seeing as both of these guys are very experienced middleweights with lots of UFC fights under their belt. Boetsch’s name hit the headlines when he upset Yushin Okami and Hector Lombard, but he’s fighting a completely different opponent in CB Dolloway. Dolloway has the style designed to drag Boetsch to the ground, where him out, beat him down, and cruise to a decision. Boetsch’s barbarian-like fighting style will be exploited here in this stylistical nightmare match up for Boetsch.

KJ Noons over George Sotiropolous at -115

Speaking of stylistical nightmares, KJ Noons finds himself in a promising bout against expert Australian grappler George Sotiropolous. KJ Noons has been titled as one of the best boxers in the lightweight division, and does indeed have some sharp hands despite being out-struck in his debut against Donald Cerrone. With that said, Noons’ hands are way sharper than George’s and if history tells anything, George could easily be knocked out again in this bout as he has been in his last 2 bouts. George should definitely not be favored in this bout.

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Fight Cards

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Event Date: November 4, 2016
Broadcast: Spike

UFC Fight Night 98: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson

Event Date: November 5, 2016
Broadcast: TBD

Bellator 164: Koreshkov vs. Lima

Event Date: November 11, 2016
Broadcast: Spike Sports

UFC 205: Alvarez vs. McGregor

Event Date: November 12, 2016
Broadcast: Pay-per-view, Fox Sports 1, UFC Fight Pass

Bellator 165: Chandler Vs. Henderson

Event Date: November 19, 2016
Broadcast: Spike TV

UFC Fight Night 99: Mousasi vs. Hall 2

Event Date: November 19, 2016
Broadcast: TBD