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UFC Fight Night 30: Smart Bets

UFC Fight Night 30: Smart Bets

In case UFC 166 didn’t fill our thirst for MMA action, we’re greeted with a UFC Fight Night 30 card this Saturday that will touch down in Manchester, United Kingdom for what should be a very action-packed and fun night of fights. Headlined by a non-title bout between Mark Munoz and Lyoto Machida, who will make his UFC middleweight debut, this card has a lot of chances for underdogs to rise to the occasion and pull off the upset; that means some major betting can be done. Let’s take a look at some smart bets:

Betting Odds (from

Mark Munoz +400

Lyoto Machida -440


Ross Pearson +100

Melvin Guillard -110


Jimi Manuwa -100

Ryan Jimmo -130


Jon Tuck +235

Norman Parke -255


Nicholas Musoke +280

Alessio Sakara -300


Phil Harris +620

John Lineker -660


Al Iaquinta -100

Piotr Hallman -125


Luke Barnatt +170

Andrew Craig -180


Rosi Sexton -105

Jessica Andrade -125


Andy Ogle +260

Cole Miller -275


Robert Whiteford +390

Jim Hettes -430


Brad Scott +340

Michael Kuiper -360

Smart Bets:

Andy Ogle over Cole Miller at +260

Yes, Ogle is the hometown favorite in this bout which definitely has its place, don’t get me wrong, but I believe Ogle is a bad match-up for Miller. For a tall lanky guy like Miller, he gets into too many close-ranged brawls that he doesn’t have to. Take his fight with Manny Gamburyan for example, he didn’t judge distance well enough and consistently let Manny close the distance and either land shots or attempt takedowns; if he does that against Ogle, he’s getting put to sleep. Ogle has tight, crisp boxing with some serious power and can give Miller lots of troubles on the feet. If the fight goes to the ground, Ogle has the submission repertoire to hold his own.

Norman Parke over Jon Tuck at -255

Sure, this isn’t a fight you can expect to win a lot of money off of, but I like this pick because it’s provides security. Parke is a very difficult opponent because of his tremendous size and grueling grappling game that sucks the life out of you. He can take a punch, and isn’t afraid to charge forward and make a fight nasty. Jon Tuck unfortunately has struggled in the past with such fighters as he is often overwhelmed by size and strength. Parke has both and should find this a fairly easy fight.

Jimi Manuwa over Ryan Jimmo at -100

A very even fight here for a bout I believe to be potentially one-sided. Both of these guys prefer a technical striking bout, but MMA common sense makes me believe one of these guys will enforce some sort of grappling against eachother; my guess is that guy will be Jimmo. However, it’s not going to be effective as he’ll have a very difficult time dealing with Manuwa’s explosiveness and speed. We saw Jimmo out-struck in the past before, and I fully believe Manuwa has the skills to put on a very impressive display in front of a crowd that will be supporting him.

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