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TUF 18 Finale: Smart Bets

TUF 18 Finale: Smart Bets

Whether you’ve followed season 18 of The Ultimate Fighter or not, we’re all being treated to the TUF 18 Finale this Saturday to see who will be the first bantamweight  woman Ultimate Fighter, and also  the TUF 18 bantamweight male winner. Topped off with a heated rematch (rubber-match if you count their battle during their season of TUF) between Nate Diaz and Gray Maynard, this card has some promising bouts. Let’s take a look at what the betting odds are, and a pick few match-ups that I do believe would be smart bets to make.

Betting Odds:

Gray Maynard -100

Nate Diaz -125


Jessica Rakoczy +325

Julianna Penn -345


David Grant +115

Chris Holdsworth -125


Peggy Morgan +560

Jessamyn Duke -600


Roxanne Modafferi +215

Raquel Pennington -240


Akira Corassani +105

Maximo Blanco -115


Tom Ninimaki +250

Rani Yahya -265


Walter Harris +310

Jared Rosholt -330


Drew Dober +360

Sean Spencer -400


Ryan Benoit -120

Josh Sampo -120


Smart Bets:


Walter Harris over Jared Rosholt at +310

For two newcomers, it’s a little strange to see such strong odds in Jared Rosholt’s favor, but being that Rosholt has family ties in MMA (his brother Jake, former UFC competitor) and the fact that he brings heavy wrestling credentials into the Octagon makes you really want to pick him for an easy win, but stop right there! Rosholt could very easily grind out his UFC debut with his superior speed, strength, and wrestling skills, but his opponent, Walter Harris, looks to be quite the beast. Harris has won all of his fights by first round knockout, and has only lost one bout, that being by decision. Harris is built like a tank and looks to have the power and athleticism to give Rosholt all he can handle.

Maximo Blanco over Akira Corassani at -115

Fairly even odds for this bout, and rightfully so. Both Blanco and Corassani have proven that they have what it takes to not only be successful in the UFC, but also be exciting. Corassani has probably had the most people talking about him, but Blanco is a lot more well-rounded and definitely has the experience edge. These aren’t great money-making odds, but the way I see it, this fight will be won by who is more well-rounded – that’s Blanco.

Gray Maynard over Nate Diaz at -100

Pretty even odds in our main event as well. The rematch between Maynard and Diaz should rightfully be very closely matched, but I’m really not seeing it. Every aspect of this fight makes me lean towards Maynard; as much as I would like to see him get knocked out 30 times like he was against TJ Grant, I just don’t believe Diaz has the power. That, and the fact that Maynard can always rely on his wrestling, get Diaz to the ground, and follow the patented anti-Diaz blueprint. But then again, Diaz did take Maynard to a split decision last fight, and even beat him their season of TUF by submission. The difference here is that Maynard has been fighting champion level competition the last few years, Diaz has not.

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