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UFC Fight Night 33 Prelims: The Predictions

UFC Fight Night 33 Prelims: The Predictions

Alex Garcia vs. Ben Wall

At UFC Fight Night 33, Alex Garcia will be taking on BenWall. If you caught “The Ultimate Fighter: The Smashes”, maybe the name Ben Wall seems familiar. Wall is a TUF-alum, but was quickly eliminated by Colin Fletcher. Not much is known about Wall, but he isn’t necessarily “wowing”. He tends to drag on fights to a decision, although he does possess some great heart and is undefeated in MMA. His opponent, coming out of the renowned Tri-Star Gym, is Alex Garcia. The Dominican-Canadian has a 10-1 record and even has had a bout against Seth Baczynski. Garcia seems to be the more athletic of the two, and considering he has only gone the distance once, I’m banking on a first round TKO for Garcia.

Alex Garcia via 1st Rd TKO

Bruno Santos vs. Krzysztof Jutko

This next bout is a middleweight fight between two UFC newcomers. The Brazilian, Santos, is a Nova Uniao product with a 13-0 record, but only finishing 2 of those bouts. Jutko on the other hand comes from Poland and also owns a 13-0 record. Jutko appears to be more well-rounded with 4 finishes by strikes. Santos has the physical upperhand as he is built like a tank, and also being that he’s more of a specialist. Being well-rounded is great, but I don’t see Jutko having that drastic of an edge on the feet, atleast enough to knock Santos out which is what he’ll have to do. Santos is going to take this fight to the ground quickly, keep it there, and most likely score a dominant decision.

Bruno Santos via Unanimous Decision

Richie Vaculik vs. Justin Scoggins

Here’s another name that should familiar to you; Richie Vaculik was a late-replacement on TUF: Smashes, but was unfortunately eliminated. The talented grappler enters his debut opposite of another debuting opponent in Justin Scoggins. Justin, from North Carolina, brings a background in striking in to the cage in this flyweight bout. Vaculik was a lightweight on TUF, so this drastic drop to 125lbs could post as a big advantage if he cuts right. Given that he does, I expect the much larger foe in Vaculik to stifle Scoggins on the feet, muscle him down, and submit him in the second round.

Richie Vaculik via 2nd Rd Submission

Caio Magalhaes vs. Nick Ring

Middleweights meet again as 2-time UFC veteran Caio Magalhaes takes on 5-time UFC veteran Nick Ring. The odds favor Nick Ring in this match-up, but, if you read my piece about the betting odds (found here) then you’ll know that I do believe this fight to go quite the opposite way. Nick Ring is a rangy striker with some basic grappling skills while Caio is more of a grappling specialist. Their styles alone make this fight interesting, but the thing that sells it for me is Magalhaes’ strength. Caio was able to over-power a 205’er in Karlos Vemola, so a taller opponent in Nick Ring shouldn’t be a difficult task. I expect Ring to pose some challenges on the feet with his length, but Ring doesn’t have the power on his shots to really hurt Magalhaes. I predict Magalhaes to get this fight in closer-distances where Caio will have a distinct advantage, and win this on the scorecard.

Caio Magalhaes via Unanimous Decision

Nam Phan vs. Takeya Mizugaki

In the bantamweight division, two strikers meet eachother in a fight that has my pick for the a potential Fight of the Night candidate. Phan makes his bantamweight debut after being on the wrong side of too many decisions. He takes on Mizugaki, a guy very well accustomed to going into those deep waters. First of all, I think this fight almost HAS to go to a decision. You have two strikers in there who aren’t really known for their power, but rather their speed and techniques; besides, their records speak for themselves. So what this fight comes down to is who wins on points. Mizugaki is the more aggressive of the two, and not only that, but he is also not scared to push the fight into the clinch and perhaps get takedowns. What Phan has is the precision and the footwork. Phan knows how to get around the Octagon quickly, and he has some very precise striking combinations that should make Mizugaki’s slightly technical brawling look like childs’ play. I think this fight will be close, but I’m favoring Phan to get the edge on the scorecards.

Nam Phan via Split Decision

Julie Kedzie vs. Bethe Correia

It just doesn’t seem to be a UFC card without atleast one female fight on it, but that’s alright when looking at this match-up here. Julie Kedzie, a well-accustomed MMA veteran, looks for her first win inside the Octagon as she takes on the debuting talent in Bethe Correia who comes from Brazil. Correia is a dominant grappler who uses her takedowns and superior ground control to win in the long-run. Kedzie on the other hand is a bit more well-rounded, but doesn’t shine anywhere in particular. Kedzie is almost more famous for the bouts she has lost than the ones she has won, so a chance for a big upset could very well be underway. I do give Correia some strong odds in producing an upset, but I just see Kedzie being too game. Julie has some solid stand-up and good wrestling to avoid the takedowns of Correia. Unless Bethe can overpower Kedzie and stifle her in the clinch, I don’t see her being able to consistently score takedowns. I favor Kedzie in the long-run with a decision.

Julie Kedzie via Unanimous Decision

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Fight Cards

Bellator 163: McGeary vs. Davis

Event Date: November 4, 2016
Broadcast: Spike

UFC Fight Night 98: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson

Event Date: November 5, 2016
Broadcast: TBD

Bellator 164: Koreshkov vs. Lima

Event Date: November 11, 2016
Broadcast: Spike Sports

UFC 205: Alvarez vs. McGregor

Event Date: November 12, 2016
Broadcast: Pay-per-view, Fox Sports 1, UFC Fight Pass

Bellator 165: Chandler Vs. Henderson

Event Date: November 19, 2016
Broadcast: Spike TV

UFC Fight Night 99: Mousasi vs. Hall 2

Event Date: November 19, 2016
Broadcast: TBD