“Honestly, I think Brock will win pretty easily… I think we’re going to see the closest thing to a grappler versus striker match you’ll see nowadays. Brock is going to cover up; maybe throw one jab. He’ll rush Overeem to the cage, reach down for a leg and rip him down… I don’t think he’s going to get off his back. I’d be very shocked — I’d applaud Overeem if he got off his back.”
— Frank Mir, via ESPN.com, weighing in on Brock Lesnar vs. Alistair Overeem
I’m not so sure it will be as “easy” as Frank Mir describes, but if Brock Lesnar beats Alistair Overeem at UFC 141 that’s pretty much how he’s going to do it. If Lesnar is able to take down Overeem early and hold him there, it’s going to be a long night for Overeem. If he was sucking wind after toying around with Fabricio Werdum for three rounds, imagine how tired he’ll be after a round or two of Brock Lesnar laying on top of him.
Of course, that all hinges upon how successful Lesnar’s takedown attempts are, if he even gets that far. Overeem could very well blast him on the feet like Shane Carwin and Cain Velasquez did before Brock even has a chance to shoot on him.
The match-up is intriguing for a lot of reasons, but stylistically, it’s a pretty simple one to figure out. Either Brock Lesnar takes down Alistair Overeem or he doesn’t. I think we’ll find out pretty early in the fight which way it’s going to go.