“I think Alistair, everything he does is one single shot because he knows he’s got that glass jaw as well. He’s been knocked out quite a few times in the past, even by Chuck Liddell as well. Every time when he punches, one hand is up. He throws single shots; he doesn’t throw combinations. You saw that when he fought [Fabricio] Werdum. Werdum was actually tagging him more than he did to Werdum. I think that Junior dos Santos, with his combinations, his reach, I think he’s going to tag him and he’s going to throw combos and I think that yeah, he’s going to take this fight.”

— Bas Rutten, via Sherdog, weighing in on Junior dos Santos vs. Alistair Overeem

Pretty interesting analysis from Bas Rutten here, but I think saying Overeem has a “glass jaw” is a bit of an overstatement. No, Alistair doesn’t have a granite chin like Mark Hunt did back in the day, but he’s no Andrei Arlovski either. The last time we really saw someone hurt Overeem was at the 2009 K-1 WGP when Badr Hari, one of the most ferocious strikers on the planet, knocked him down with a right hand and rocked him with a head kick. Either of those shots could have easily started a fight ending sequence if it was a MMA fight, but it’s not like Overeem’s lights went out and he hit the ground like a sack of potatoes like Arlovski has been known to do.

Overeem’s not immune to being rocked or even knocked out if he’s hit on the button, but I don’t think a finish is going to come quite as easy for JDS as Bas makes it sound.

Image via Esther Lin for Strikeforce/Showtime