At 37 years old, Guelmino is the oldest fighter scheduled for action at UFC 165. He’s coming off a two-minute submission loss to Josh Barnett in Strikeforce and is getting a chance in the Octagon as a matter of circumstance, not performance. Furthermore, Guelmino is fighting newcomer Daniel Omielanczuk, meaning a defeat would almost definitely mark the end to the Austrian’s spot on the roster. There are a few factors working in Thompson’s favor when it comes to being cut if he fails in his effort against Chris Clements, Specifically, he has an interesting skill-set as far as his kickboxing background and he still has a respectable record. However, Thompson’s talent to strike hasn’t translated into MMA as seamlessly as some might have hoped, and he barely got by Nah-Shon Burrell when they battled in May. Had he lost, he would be on a two-fight slide, so a one-sided stumble to Clements could spell doom for Thompson’s time in the UFC. Menjivar is a favorite amongst hardcore fans but he hasn’t really hit his stride in the UFC. The “Pride of El Salvador” was tapped out by Urijah Faber in the first frame of their fight from earlier this year and hasn’t beaten a ranked adversary in a long time. The bantamweight division has grown increasingly strong over the past few years, and while Menjivar has an above-average chance of beating opponent Wilson Reis at next weekend’s show, he also has similar odds of being handed a pink-slip if he fails to do so. The pressure for Schaub to succeed is two-fold. First, he has a questionable chin, so getting knocked out would not only raise concerns about his ability to keep fighting in the UFC but to compete at a high-level in other organizations. Secondly, his February win over Lavar Johnson didn’t come close to living up to the hype, featuring Schaub’s repeated attempts to stall action and outpoint his adversary rather than engage. He could hang around for another bout even if Matt Mitrione comes out triumphant in their Toronto throwdown but his job is far from guaranteed. Like opponent Schaub, “Meathead” is coming off a win but can’t count on another UFC paycheck beyond UFC 165 unless he wins or loses after looking good. He’s 35 years old so he doesn’t have a lot of time left to develop and he’s rubbed UFC President Dana White the wrong way on more than one occasion. In fact, Mitrione’s match-up with Schaub will be his first since a suspension for violating the promotion’s behavior policy after a mean-spirited rant on transgendered fighter Fallon Fox.
The lineup for
features two title-bouts, a couple of top contenders, and a number of fighters who have only tasted defeat a single time. However, that’s not to say every athlete taking to the Octagon on September 21 can depend on having a job in the UFC come October based on how things unfold in Toronto. In fact, a few are even in “must win” situations. (Photos by USA Today Sports Images) UFC 165